Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 8.088691 9.415541 10.844105 12.490947 14.331262 16.318691 18.621373
2025-03-30 6.354632 8.059472 10.016892 12.411443 15.241607 18.459660 22.373893
2025-04-06 5.287635 7.214697 9.549731 12.547803 16.252417 20.636196 26.168244
2025-04-13 4.503020 6.561524 9.177781 12.680504 17.174701 22.671788 29.820100
2025-04-20 3.989802 6.164721 9.047544 13.048936 18.349044 25.012898 33.894394
2025-04-27 3.538124 5.778594 8.867195 13.298428 19.338910 27.121932 37.721779
2025-05-04 3.086212 5.326105 8.535231 13.288690 19.947623 28.726761 40.925347
2025-05-11 2.550595 4.675142 7.848313 12.710289 19.718023 29.178232 42.594594
2025-05-18 2.199230 4.260810 7.458466 12.508124 19.970879 30.254428 45.096856
2025-05-25 1.880384 3.854937 7.036381 12.212965 20.052732 31.072298 47.246661
2025-06-01 1.636931 3.543128 6.727337 12.055136 20.307828 32.119537 49.722000
2025-06-08 1.398390 3.205851 6.341193 11.740074 20.296440 32.767433 51.635964
2025-06-15 1.252734 3.023342 6.198781 11.805006 20.866417 34.279441 54.834496
2025-06-22 1.107212 2.819825 5.998931 11.756447 21.248758 35.518589 57.666088
2025-06-29 1.006331 2.691885 5.919529 11.898952 21.930699 37.216444 61.203394
2025-07-06 0.915172 2.570871 5.839982 12.031320 22.594813 38.899995 64.756012
2025-07-13 0.860240 2.521447 5.888873 12.386949 23.631797 41.176945 69.242429
2025-07-20 0.797078 2.443883 5.875497 12.627308 24.482565 43.185247 73.368372
2025-07-27 0.714257 2.306738 5.731284 12.618389 24.909544 44.538732 76.528339
2025-08-03 0.590391 2.045546 5.308954 12.063643 24.376128 44.352227 77.317651
2025-08-10 0.513368 1.889707 5.088257 11.869808 24.449069 45.123576 79.591263
2025-08-17 0.439062 1.725820 4.832085 11.586778 24.346269 45.599135 81.404363
2025-08-24 0.383001 1.601888 4.650413 11.435456 24.466051 46.433835 83.793281